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The new casino, rapidly rising next to the "Friendly City," will have 3, slot machines and table games in a modern building, dwarfing the 1, slots and 20 tables in River Rock's tentlike structure on a scenic hill overlooking the Russian River and vineyards of Alexander Valley. This tool is available only to subscribers; please make sure you're logged in if you want to follow a story. But one of those casinos, operated by Robinson Rancheria about 75 miles to the north in Upper Lake, filed an objection to Graton's state compact application last year, alleging the big new casino would interdict customers from Santa Rosa and the greater Bay Area. Even if it cuts into other tribes' revenues, both he and Hopkins said the Graton Rancheria deserves to benefit from the income and jobs. Casinos may need to offer more "free play," Elmets said. Experts say there is room for more growth, especially in the Bay Area, but some will come at the expense of existing casinos. But the competition from Graton also has thrown into question River Rock's long-term plans to build a permanent casino structure and hotel. And they will have to figure out a way to develop a new niche for their casino attraction," he said. However, Graton Tribal Chairman Greg Sarris dismissed most of the predictions as conjecture and "hysteria. Our Network.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} He said that Graton's new casino just off Highway will have a distinct advantage, especially over River Rock, located four miles from Geyserville via a winding two-lane road. Learn why. If you no longer want to follow a story, click the "Unfollow" link on that story. There's enough to go around," he said. He said some of the revenue-sharing agreements, such as money the tribe funnels to the Sonoma County Sheriff's Office, schools and roads, could be affected. There's a lot of people now who are new homeowners. Your access to the comments section has been restricted. But Dry Creek Chairman Hopkins said Graton's impending opening and the impact it will have on River Rock already has caused his tribe to delay charitable payments it makes to Healdsburg District Hospital and other causes. Rohnert Park casino's impact on existing gaming halls debated. A banker who specializes in tribal financing issues was more sanguine about prospects for all the casinos:. Even small casinos clustered close to each other in Lake County "are doing equally well," Sarris said. He conceded some of River Rock's patrons initially may be curious and come to the Graton casino, which is expected to open by the first week of November. Please enter the email address for your Disqus account to join the comments. Log In Subscribe. You can reach Staff Writer Clark Mason at or clark. Alex Bumazhny, a director with Fitch Ratings in New York who specializes in analyzing the Indian gaming market, said the Dry Creek tribe will have a hard time raising money for expansion. Hopkins said the tribe is developing alternative forms of revenue, including opening a new tobacco shop at the casino and bottling its own wine from nearby vineyards it acquired. We'll bounce back. Hopkins predicted River Rock will rebound a year after the Rohnert Park casino opens, when the novelty wears off. Please note: This feature is available only to subscribers; make sure you're logged in if you want to follow a story. But he said "the clientele coming to us will be somewhat different. Learn more. It's done a lot for us, and we will survive. Some of that, Thompson said, will be from poaching some of the 1. The new gambling palace, conveniently situated along Highway closer to the populous Bay Area, is predicted to siphon off customers accustomed to traveling farther north to River Rock, Sonoma County's only other Indian casino, as well as patrons of smaller casinos in Mendocino and Lake counties. Log In. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}The "Follow This Story" feature will notify you when any articles related to this story are posted. You must be logged in as a subscriber to access the comments section. He also fears River Rock will lose a number of well-trained staff "from the executives all the way to the janitors. Their lifeblood is the Bay Area," said Doug Elmets, who represents five tribes, including those that operate Thunder Valley and Jackson Rancheria casinos, closer to Sacramento. Coyote Valley Band Chairman Michael Hunter, whose tribe operates a casino with slot machines and eight card tables north of Ukiah, predicted there will not be a major effect on his operation. Not only would it seriously threaten Robinson Rancheria's modest casino and others in Lake, Sonoma, Mendocino and Colusa counties, the tribe's business council claimed, it also will have negative impacts on tribal governments as far away as the Gold Country in the Sierras. The opening later this year of the Graton Rancheria's huge casino in Rohnert Park holds the promise of economic betterment for its 1, tribal members, but also poses a threat in the form of powerful competition for other tribes with casinos. Please enter the email address for your Disqus account to join the comments Email Continue. He said the fact that Dry Creek restructured its debt in by extending the maturity of its bonds to existing bondholders indicated lenders thought River Rock was overextended. Bumazhny disagrees. They will be fighting tooth and nail for whatever scraps fall off the table," he said. There's also an "Unfollow" link in every email notification we send you. There is an opportunity to pick up new gamers," said William Thompson, a gambling expert who teaches at the University of Nevada in Las Vegas. Hopkins predicts that smaller casinos to the north, which number six in Mendocino County and four in Lake County, also will feel the pain. Hunter said many of Coyote Valley casino's clients come to Mendocino County for other reasons, such as to visit the redwoods and wineries. When you follow a story, the next time a related article is published — it could be days, weeks or months — you'll receive an email informing you of the update.